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Investing In The Markets With The Threat Of A Double Dip Recession

Investing In The Markets With The Threat Of A Double Dip Recession

Analysis / Insights Update: This post was included in the Carnival of Money Stories Biography: Mr. Appleton is a member of the Matco investment committee and Matco’s Canadian Equity Group, which is responsible for managing the Canadian Equity, Small Cap, and Energy Portfolios. Prior to joining Matco, Mr. Appleton was with Computerized Portfolio Management Services Inc., one of [...]

Update: This post was included in the Carnival of Money Stories

Lee W. Appleton, CFA is Vice President, Portfolio Manager at Matco Financial

Lee W. Appleton, CFA is Vice President, Portfolio Manager at Matco Financial

Biography: Mr. Appleton is a member of the Matco investment committee and Matco’s Canadian Equity Group, which is responsible for managing the Canadian Equity, Small Cap, and Energy Portfolios. Prior to joining Matco, Mr. Appleton was with Computerized Portfolio Management Services Inc., one of North America’s leading independent equity research firms. He can be reached by email at: lappleton (at) matcofinancial (dot) ca or by telephone (toll free) at: 1.877.539.5743

Is the economy going to fall back into a recession or not? Not, at least not in the near term says Lee W. Appleton, portfolio manager at Matco Financial. Lee points to the steepness of the U.S. yield curve as having been a historically accurate precursor of recessions, with nine yield curve inversions followed by nine recessions. With the current yield curve being as steep as it’s been in 45 years, if one were to make an inference it would be that a recession is not on the horizon. However, Lee also notes that trends take time to develop and that the shape of the yield curve needs to be closely monitored for any signs of change.

Another point brought up by Lee is that current projections for expected earnings per share for the S&P/TSX Composite stand at 881 for 2011, a 21% increase year over year. Given a mandate to be invested in the markets today, Lee believes his “Canadian equity
picks are well-suited to the tug-of-war of worries and opportunities that is underway.”

2 of Lee’s top picks are Domtar Coporation (UFS: TSX) and Saputo Inc. (SAP:TSX). Read on below for why he likes them so much.

Is There Going To Be A Double Dip by Lee W. Appleton, CFA, Portfolio Manager at Matco Financial

For your information:

Matco Financial Inc. is a privately owned and independent Wealth Management Office. The material presented in the Matco Report is intended to provide information to Matco Financial clients, contacts, and affiliates. Readers should not act on this information without first consulting their investment advisor, tax advisor, financial planner, or lawyer. This communication does not constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation.

Management fees, commissions, and expenses may be associated with investment management services and mutual fund investments. Please read the applicable information such as the prospectus, which contains detailed investment information and is available from your advisor before investing. Most marketable securities such as mutual funds are not guaranteed or insured, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated.

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Perspectives on Canadian Real Estate First Quarter 2010

Economics The results of a comprehensive survey that measured the confidence of senior executives in the Canadian commercial real estate industry were released today by the Real Property Association of Canada (REALpac) and FPL Advisory Group (FPL). The aim of this survey was to measure the pulse of the Canadian commercial real estate industry over time. The [...]

The results of a comprehensive survey that measured the confidence of senior executives in the Canadian commercial real estate industry were released today by the Real Property Association of Canada (REALpac) and FPL Advisory Group (FPL). The aim of this survey was to measure the pulse of the Canadian commercial real estate industry over time. The [...]

Is it time for the Canadian economy to strike out on its own?

Analysis / Insights Recently the Bank of Canada reiterated its promise to keep borrowing rates unchanged through June 2010. While there are many valid arguments in favor of the decision and some against, an underlying theory is that the Bank of Canada is waiting for the US Federal Reserve to increase rates. While concern about what the Fed [...]

Recently the Bank of Canada reiterated its promise to keep borrowing rates unchanged through June 2010. While there are many valid arguments in favor of the decision and some against, an underlying theory is that the Bank of Canada is waiting for the US Federal Reserve to increase rates. While concern about what the Fed [...]

Talking Interest Rates, Mortgage Backed Securities and Banks with Taylor Cottam, CFA

Analysis / Insights Biography: Taylor Cottam, has managed financial risk and traded fixed income products inside both GMAC bank and other financial institutions in Europe, North America and Canada. He has written about business and economic issues for prominent trade magazines and is the owner and principal contributor to www.economypolitics.com. He has published the 2010 Best to Invest Series [...]

Biography: Taylor Cottam, has managed financial risk and traded fixed income products inside both GMAC bank and other financial institutions in Europe, North America and Canada. He has written about business and economic issues for prominent trade magazines and is the owner and principal contributor to www.economypolitics.com. He has published the 2010 Best to Invest Series [...]

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